Syrian Kurdish Conflict- A Simplified Sequence Of Events- Past, Present, Future

Many Americans are raging against the withdrawal of US troops from northern Syria, claiming that the US government is abandoning the Kurds to the Turkish invasion.

The biggest problem with this is that these Americans have not paid any attention to any part of this conflict except what corporate media has fed them. They are completely unaware of the sequence which led to this point.

So, this is a simplified review of events leading up to this point and where it is most likely to lead in the future.

2014- The YPK, PKK (Kurdish militant groups) and Al Qaeda are listed as extremist terrorist groups by the US government.

2015- All three groups engage in attacks against the Syrian government. This leads to the US State Department downgrading the terminology regarding all three groups from “terrorist organizations” to “moderate rebels”. The US military and CIA begin covertly funding and arming all three groups. This includes Al Qaeda, the leading alleged organization responsible for the attacks on the World trade Center and the Pentagon on 9/11/01.

Each group maintains the same tactics and ideology which they adhered to before this change occurs with no changes other than to become more violent than ever.

These attacks lead to a massive refugee crisis out of Syria, overwhelming neighboring countries and Europe, with thousands dying in the attempt to reach a safe haven.

In response to the terrorist attacks, the Syrian government requests assistance from Russia to repel the attacks. Russia agrees, having a long history of alliance with Syria. Note that Russia has had a naval base in Syria for over 40 years.

Iran offers assistance to repel the terrorist attacks, an offer which is accepted by the Syrian government.

2016- The Syrian government asks the Kurds to participate in peace talks which include the Kurds, Syria, Russia and Iran. The US government discourages the Kurds from participating and refuses to participate as more than passive observer status.

Multiple meetings between Syria, Russia, Turkey and Iran will take place through 2016 through 2018.

Wikileaks releases Hillary Clinton’s emails documenting US funding and support for terrorist organizations. The media conducts a full court blackout on the documents. The revelation forces the Obama administration to end official arms supplies and funding to NGO (non-governmental organizations) militias.

2017/2018/2019- The Syrian Arab Army (official military of Syria), the Russian military and Hezbollah, backed by Iran, show tremendous success in defeating terrorist organizations in Syria, retaking most of the Syrian territories under control of the Syrian government.

2018- Assad wins democratic election as president of Syria.

The Turkish government still considers the Kurdish militia groups to be terrorist organizations. The Turkish military begins incursions into northern Syria to defeat Kurdish militant groups in addition to Al Qaeda and ISIS.

2019- Trump announces withdrawal of US forces from Syria. US forces have been present in Syrian territory illegally since 2015, according to the UN Security Council and UN Peace Council. US forces were never granted permission to be in Syria by the only entities with the authority to grant legality to their presence- The UN Security Council, the Syrian government or the Russian government.

The media portrays the withdrawal as an abandonment of the Kurds, still considered terrorists by Turkey and Syria. No mention of the illegal status of US forces is reported by corporate media. No mention of the previous designation as terrorist organizations is mentioned. No mention that Syria and Turkey consider them terrorist organizations at this time.

Turkey increases the intensity of the attacks on the Syrian Kurds.

The Kurdish militia requests assistance from the Syrian government and strike a deal with the Assad administration to participate in peace talks. The Syrian military mobilizes to assist the Kurds and drive the Turkish military out of Syria.

This brings us up to the present. So, what can we expect to happen in the future?

Most likely it can be expected that the Turkish government will withdraw from Syria, either before engaging the Syrian military or shortly after beginning to do so. Mention has been made of establishing a no fly zone over northern Syria. However, this would lead to a direct confrontation with Russian air forces, while Russia has not agreed to the no fly zone. Even if the US attempts to force the issue, expect Turkey to retreat from the suggestion, not wanting military confrontation with Russia.

Expect to hear more attempts at peace talks between the Kurds, Syria, Turkey, Russia and Iran. Without US intercession, these peace talks are highly likely to succeed, building a coalition between all countries involved. These peace talks will go unreported by corporate media.

In response, expect the US to intensify sanctions against Turkey, the member of the coalition with the current fewest sanctions imposed upon them.

All or part of the coalition will drive the remainder of terrorist forces from central and northern Syria.

Then expect the coalition governments to offer similar assistance to the Iraqi government, which will be accepted. Then the enlarged and strengthened coalition will set their sights on Yemen, driving out Saudi forces permanently.

By the end of all of this, expect all of the coalition countries to turn to attempts at peace efforts with Saudi Arabia and Israel, by willing invitation or by brute force. The US will likely be unwelcome to participate in these peace efforts.

US Presence In Syria Is Still Illegal

With Trump stating he wants to withdraw US forces from Syria, he is doing something surprising. Ending the ILLEGAL occupation of a foreign country by US forces.

Of course, the “resistance” is completely freaked out. What? END one of our forever wars? Unthinkable.

First, the illegal part. From the very first US tire track or footprint by US troops on Syrian soil, from the very first flyover by US jets, our presence in Syria has been in violation of international law. Our presence in Syria has NEVER been approved by the UN Security Council, the Syrian government (democratically elected) or the Russian government (legally present in Syria by invitation of the legal Syrian government to fight ISIS and Al Qaeda). These are the ONLY entities with the authority to grant legal permission for US military presence in Syria.

Why are we there? Have you noticed how many The claim being made by the “resistance” is that our purpose in Syria is to support the Kurds. Really? That comes as news to me. I could have sworn our presence in Syria was to fight against ISIS and Al Qaeda. Or is it to support the Syrian people against Assad? Or is it to protect Israel against Syria and Iran?

You’ll notice the rationale for our presence there keeps on changing. Yet none of those rationales make sense when examined.

Arming all sides. Turkey has had a long history of animosity toward the Kurds. It was only a few months ago that our government was arming the Kurds to assist in the fight against ISIS and also fight against Turkey. Thus our presence was needed for that reason. Meanwhile, our government was also arming Turkey and trying desperately to sell F35 fighter jets and Patriot missile systems to Turkey. Meanwhile, Wikileaks has shown conclusively that our government was funding ISIS and Al Qaeda. Without that evidence, as terrorists have withdrawn from geographic areas in Syria, the caches they have left behind have been documented to be over 70% American made weapons.

Israel helping terrorists. Israel admitted publicly to providing shelter and medical care to Al Qaeda terrorists.

What parts of Syria are we occupying? Notice that the areas that US forces have been occupying all have high concentrations of oil production facilities.

Both Turkey and Syria consider Kurdish extremists to be terrorists. It becomes deeply questioning when both countries that the Kurdish militia opposes consider them to be terrorists.

Safe zone? Turkey is claiming they wish to establish a “safe zone” to move immigrants from Syria back into Syria. Here is the problem with that. The people they are seeking to displace are not all from Syria. They are combatants from various countries who have fought for terrorist organizations. This is a clear attempt to implant known terrorists who fled Syria after being defeated right back into Syria.

Who has made attempts at peace? The Kurds have stated a desire to establish their own country and separate from Syria. That is, as long as they can claim oil rights in the northern Syrian territory. Assad has refused this idea yet has made numerous efforts to hold peace talks with the Kurds, while Russia offered to host the talks in neutral territory. The Kurds have refused. The Kurds were invited to take part in multiple peace talks which have taken place and involved Syria, Turkey, Iran and Russia. Each time the Kurds have refused. So has the US.

What happens now? If US forces withdraw from Syria, as they should, then certain events will take place which can be predicted. The Kurds will not have the resources to withstand the assault by Turkey. They will then have one choice. They will be forced to turn to Assad for assistance. This would then lead to direct talks between Assad (Syria) and Erogan (Turkey) in peace efforts. This time, the Kurds will have no other choice than to actively engage in peace talks with both countries. At this point, it will take huge efforts by the Kurds to prove that they are committed to any peace process. Which may well involve their complete voluntary disarmament.

Who is the warmonger? When all of this is taken into consideration, anyone opposing the withdrawal of US troops from Syria must consider themselves to be the true warmonger. Any continued occupation by US forces does nothing to help any party involved except the US Military Industrial Complex. Who do you really think is behind the opposition every single time our withdrawal is even suggested?

“But Trump” Yeah, go ahead and keep screaming at the top of your lungs how much you support peace, how Trump is a warmonger and monster. Then again, if you really support US military presence, sign up. Tell your children and grandchildren to sign up. Get a uniform on, put your life and their lives on the line. Admit you do not GAF how much these wars cost because YOU want them to continue and YOU want MORE wars. No matter WHAT it costs in money or lives. Even when that involvement is illegal.

Progressive my ass.

Syrian Troop Withdrawal

On 12/19/18, Trump announced he will order withdrawal of US troops from Syria. By now we should know to hold our elation about such an announcement. Look at what happened with North Korea.

Don’t forget he is still belligerent toward Iran, who is helping Syria. He is also completely unpredictable regarding Russia and Turkey. So we have absolutely no idea what may come next.

With Trump himself, one has to take note of the fact that his announcement is only regarding ground troops. He did not make any announcement that we will not be bombing Syria or supporting Israeli military aggression in Syria.

The response to this announcement by the media was predictable. Corporate media immediately began attacking, claiming this action helps Iran.. and Assad.. and Russia.. and ISIS. Never mind that ISIS opposes Assad (kind of the whole point of ISIS’s presence in Syria), somehow this action helps both Assad and ISIS. How it helps Russia is anyone’s guess.

Of course, he makes the claim that this withdrawal is because the US somehow beat ISIS. If we beat ISIS and not Assad, then were we assisting Assad all along, while claiming Assad is some kind of monster? What happened to all the claims of Assad using chemical weapons on his own people at the most inopportune times over and over and over? Obviously, Russian and Iranian military presence which actually fought on the ground and bombed ISIS military positions had nothing to do with the defeat of ISIS. The US beat ISIS by bombing the Syrian military repeatedly. Because that makes sense.

This announcement also comes right after the announcement of a $5 billion weapons deal with Turkey. Maybe he thinks Turkey is going to invade Syria? Or that Turkey will band with Israel and Saudi Arabia to invade? We can only guess what actions the CIA will be engaging in next to keep our military in Syria.

I’m still waiting for more of a response from “the Resistance” about this. The one thing you can count on is that the response will not be positive. Anyattempt to move away from warfare in any way will be attacked ferociously and they will find some way to twist it into how it gives Mueller more ammunition and Trump should be impeached for withdrawing US troops from a country where our presence has been illegal from the very beginning.

We can also expect corporate media and “the Resistance” to start an aggressive campaign to use this as a further push for war with Russia and most likely Iran. I expect it to be part of the “protect Israel” story they weave.

No matter what, the one thing we should never expect of any of this is that it will be a step further toward peace in any part of the globe. That’s not what our government or media are about. Because “good guys” never want war to end, right?