RT reported on 1–14–20 that when General Soleimani was meeting with the Iraqi PM, the Iraqi PM was acting as an intermediary for the Saudi government as well as Iraq itself in peaceful negotiations between the three nations.
A peace agreement between Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia would be entirely logical. They have had past trade agreements which extend long before the founding of America and all three nations were founding members of OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries), as was Venezuela.
Know who is NOT a member of OPEC, in spite of being the world leading oil exporter? The US. Don’t you find that a bit odd? Of course, if the US became an OPEC member, they would be bound by rules and decisions made by OPEC as a democratic structure. Rules which would include reducing or increasing production to maintain a fair oil market, something the US has no interest in maintaining.
Keep in mind that Russia has held discussions with each of these nations and Syria. With or without Russia, if these four countries achieve peaceful agreements, several things would happen-
Decreased terrorism. The support of terrorist organizations has had a definite economic effect on Saudi Arabia over years. With the US being less able to covertly fund and arm these groups, to keep them going has required more financial support from SA. As financial and weapons support has dwindled, we have seen increasing defeat and collapse of ISIS, Al Qaeda and associated groups across the entire Middle East. Their complete dissolution is within sight at this time.
War or peace? This leaves SA with one of two options- Mobilize their own military openly and actively declare war on multiple sovereign nations or begin seeking peaceful diplomatic agreements with their immediate neighboring nations. Declaring war would justify Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz and all other involved nations to respond militarily. Considering the sprawling nature of their oil industry on which most of the SA economy is based, SA is extremely vulnerable to attacks which would decimate their economy in short order. Militarily, they would be unable to face multiple war fronts against nations with hard-won battle experience far beyond anything the Saudi military has ever faced. These are nations with advanced military technology and no dependence on the US for their weaponry. As their proxies are defeated, SA is being forced to make some efforts at diplomacy.
Expanding coalition. Should any peaceful agreement be reached between Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia, that agreement would very quickly include Syria and Afghanistan. Eventually, that agreement would grow to rope in Qatar, Bahrain and Oman. That is the short list. It is entirely possible even more nations would join that coalition out of choice or necessity.
Fall of the petrodollar. I have explained on numerous occasions that the days of the petrodollar are decidedly numbered and shrinking. Already Syria, Iran and Venezuela have ceased using the US dollar. Russia has been calling for the demise of the petrodollar for years due to the unfair influence of the petrodollar on world commerce. Russia, China and India have been rapidly decreasing their holdings of US Treasuries. Goldman Sachs has advised their major investors to divest from US Treasury holdings and instead invest in precious metals (especially gold) and increase holdings in foreign currencies, especially Eastern currencies. The trade war with China has decreased trade in dollars and increased trade in other currencies. At this point, it seems highly likely Iraq will drop use of the dollar. This would be an absolute certainty if the US seizes Iraqi financial resources. Even if not, they will gradually reduce any holdings in US banks to avoid that being used as a threat in the future. China, Russia, India and Europe have drastically increased trade in currencies other than the dollar. It is only a short time until the dollar falls in international dominance.
Other nations are watching. The actions and rhetoric of the US has sent a clear message to every other nation on earth. The threat of the US to impose sanctions on Iraq and seize their resources while maintaining a military presence in the country against the will of the Iraqi parliament is nothing short of a military occupation. Pompeo claims our purpose there now is to train the Iraqi military on how to fight ISIS. Our military cannot train the Iraqi military when their presence is unwanted, forced upon them and their agenda is not trusted. The seizure of financial resources was set in precedent by the seizure of the resources of Venezuela and Libya. Our government was instrumental in the overthrow of Morales in Bolivia, Zelaya in Honduras, Yanukovych in Ukraine, the assassination of Qaddafi in Libya, in addition to the Taliban in Afghanistan, the illegal invasion of Iraq and attempted overthrows of Assad in Syria and Maduro in Venezuela. Those are just mentioning actions in the 21st century. Military, economic and political threats, sanctions and tariffs have shown the US government to have no respect for human rights, justice, fairness, democracy, diplomacy, peace or sovereignty. At this point no other government can justifiably trust the US government.
Who is next? A direct result of all the above is that other governments and populations are asking themselves, “Is our country next?” for very good reason. That includes countries that are our alleged “allies”. It now seems that all it takes for the US to consider another country as adversarial is openly or even covertly stating they do not agree with our actions or policies. Then that country becomes an immediate target for some form of harm by the US government. While Trump is the most aggressive, uncouth and bombastic president we have had, he is merely a continuation of the foreign policies of previous administrations. As such, other nations see our foreign policy as a threat, no matter the administration. This leaves all other nations no choice but to form coalitions and diplomatic relations which completely omit the US and possibly directly oppose the US on all fronts- militarily, economically, politically, diplomatically and socially.
It really does not matter how nationalistic an American is, even the mainstream media can no longer hide the fact that the US no longer holds the hegemony we once had only a few years ago. This country now faces opposition and competition on all fronts from many directions. This is as it should be. It is amusing when a US nationalist lays claim to a “free market” and opposes socialism, yet then supports the idea of imposing rules, sanctions and tariffs on other nations. All while remaining silent on subsidies, tax breaks and even warfare which benefits the corporations. In other words, imposing rules and force on sovereign nations and our own citizens which amount to socialism for the wealthy in the US, oppression for everyone else.
Other nations are well aware of the condition of our economy, our education system, our military technology, our medical care, our social support structure,and our electoral system. They are aware of our violent crime rate and prison population. They are aware of our surveillance which spans the globe, including on our own people. They are aware of the violence and aggression this country uses to impose a superficial belief in our superiority on the rest of the planet. They are aware that our so-called “freedom” means their servitude and that it is absolutely not freedom.
It is only a matter of dwindling time before other nations choose diplomacy over conflict, as their options are depleted, burned and blown up by decades of warfare.
In the end, people tend to fight for one thing. Hope. When wars continue for years, especially over multiple generations, any hope of gain by conflict becomes lost. So what they hope for is peace. Just a normal existence without constant fear of injury and death. Mundane existence becomes a pipe dream.
In the US, we don’t understand this because the wars we have waged have left the general population, our cities and lands unscathed. It’s easy to rage for more warfare when someone else pays the most obvious price. It is those who have paid the highest price for our conflicts who will decide on peace, to stop being used as puppets. It is they who will eject us from their lands and never welcome us in again. Not in this lifetime, any way. It is we who will have to prove we can change our ways. If we refuse to leave, they will join together to remove us by any means necessary. They have begun that process.