There Is Absolutely NOTHING To Win In A War With Iran

Yesterday Iran launched missile strikes against US military installations in Iraq. This was in response to the US assassination of their most revered general, who was in Iraq to meet the Iraqi PM in peace talks, by all accounts.

The missile strike now divides the US populace, with some calling for retaliation against Iran and others opposing further military action.

The assassination was not the only attack by the US in Iraq. The US also struck the Iraqi PMU, which is labeled a terrorist organization by the US government. The PMU is a part of the Iraqi military which fights against ISIS very effectively. Which means our government directly attacked the military of a sovereign government while claiming we are there to help them fight ISIS.

There are claims that General Soleimani is responsible for US deaths. Funny how we are just now hearing this and the claims are extremely vague. The actual reason for these claims is because Iran, under Soleimani, trained Iraqi military. They used that training when Iraq was invaded by US forces under knowingly false pretenses in 2003. Where are those WMD’s again?

This also comes while Iran has been struggling for years under US trade sanctions which have severely damaged their economy. For claims that they have violated the JCPOA nuclear agreement. Never mind that there has been no evidence presented of any violation. Never mind that the IAEA stated clearly Iran was in compliance. Never mind that all other nations signed onto the agreement have remained dedicated to the JCPOA. Never mind that Iran invited US inspectors into the country to confirm their compliance. Never mind that the US government refused to conduct those inspections.

This also comes after the Iraqi Prime Minister told the US to remove our military forces from the country. Since the missile attacks, the Iraqi parliament voted unanimously for the US forces to leave the country. Some will point out that not all the parliament was present for that vote. Yet it has been several days since the vote and the groups who were absent have not issued an opposing statement in any form. In response to parliament telling us to leave, Trump has threatened to impose crippling sanctions against Iraq. That’s funny, I thought we were supposed to be there to HELP them? How do sanctions achieve that?

Let’s make this clear. Every Middle East country in which the US is conducting combat operations wants our forces gone. No, we are NOT doing combat inside Saudi Arabia, Israel or Turkey. We are in Syria illegally and they want us out. We invaded Iraq illegally and they want us gone. We overthrew the Taliban in Afghanistan and have been there for 18 years. Today the Taliban has more public support in Afghanistan than they have had at any point since 2001 and they control more of the country than ever. The people want us gone. Only the US puppet PM claims to want us there.

Look at a map. If the US declares war against Iran, This will require using all of our forces and resources from other ME countries and redirecting them toward Iran. Which means we would no longer be fighting ISIS at all. Now, look at the countries which would be to our rear and flanks. Those would be the same countries that have told us to get out. The same countries whose governments we have tried to overthrow, with varied levels of success but mostly failed.

Yes, Israel and Saudi Arabia would also be there. Yet those two countries have not seen combat the way our opponents have. They have funded and armed proxy terrorists to fight for them. In other words, mercenaries. Israel and Saudi Arabia are also HIGHLY dependent on the US for their arms and economies. If all of our resources are mandated to fight Iran, primarily our weapons production capabilities, the US will no longer be able to supply weapons to Israel and SA. So, IF they defended our rear, their weapons supplies would be exhausted within days. Tactically, all their enemies have to do is destroy the shipping ports and possibly airports of those two countries and they will be economically crippled. No need to confront their military forces. That would also strangle their supply lines. Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz and that would stop multiple countries in their tracks.

Russia and China. Only a few weeks ago, Iran held joint military drills with Russia and China. In other words, two major military forces of countries we have directly threatened and opposed militarily and economically. Countries with advanced weapons capabilities. Should they step into the battle, there is no effective way we could fight back. If they stepped in early enough, even if the US enacted a draft, the war would be over before new recruits could be trained here. In addition, the US relies heavily on rare earth minerals from China, which they could easily embargo. That would strangle our ability to build many electronics and military equipment. China could cease trade with the US, leaving store shelves completely empty, so our general economy would largely collapse.

Don’t count on NATO. Allegedly, NATO forces have already begun pulling out of Iraq. Europe relies heavily on trade with ME countries and China. In addition to the fact that assassinating a military leader and directly attacking a sovereign military force was a step too far for Europe. Yes, the UK may assist us but that would be a difficult sell to the UK public. Especially when they are still debating Brexit. If NATO opposes action, they would have to divest themselves of NATO, which would be largely irreversible. Political sentiment across Europe would affect their trade. On their own, with limited trade and lessened military capability, they would not be much help and would face the same conditions the US would face.

Nothing to gain. There is literally nothing to gain in any of this. We have turned allies across the ME into enemies. We are facing opposition across the globe on this, including a massive percentage of the US public. Our government can try to claim we are being attacked but have refused the option to simply leave countries where we are not wanted. More people are aware of this than at any point in past history. We have no right to be there. We cannot claim we are fighting terrorists when we turn our backs against ISIS to fight multiple sovereign nations inside their own countries. This would be a war which would either end quickly with our absolute defeat or would continue indefinitely for generations. Diplomatic relations would NEVER be repaired.

So, if you support some military action against Iran, you also support actions against Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and possibly Russia and China. You mindlessly, emotionally support a war which we cannot win and in which there is no such thing as winning. I expect other nations to realize this immediately.

Saudi Refining..Recovered? I Call BS!

The announcement came today from Saudi Arabia that they had already recovered their oil refining capacity from the attack a few days ago and would be at full capacity in 2–3 weeks.

Now, there are a number of possibilities here. First, as mentioned in my first article on the subject, they had been running at reduced capacity for some time. So maybe that refinery or another not running at capacity simply increased output.

However, to be back at full capacity in 2–3 weeks would be beyond possibility. That attack reduced refining by 50% with fires so extensive that the smoke was seen in space. So, what? Did they just have enough equipment sitting around unused, enough to basically build half of a refinery? That doesn’t sound likely. Ordering new equipment, shipping from other countries, transporting massive pieces of equipment and installing it doesn’t happen in that time frame.

Then there is another possibility. That the whole thing was a ruse meant to portray Iran badly.

Or there is the possibility that they are lying and have not recovered capacity. They may do that to make it seem to their adversaries that the attack was ineffective, so as to discourage future attacks.

I am guessing the truth is a combination of the latter and having unused refinery capacity which they restarted. This would also discourage trading partners from seeking out other sources for oil products, which they had to already be doing.

No matter what the truth is, Saudi Arabia seems to be taking a passive role in the warmongering rhetoric coming from Israel and Washington, who were not attacked. Perhaps they think the US will take unilateral action against Iran without Saudis being directly involved. The rhetoric from DC is claiming that “intelligence shows” the attack was by missiles launched from Iran. By inserting the word “intelligence”, what they are truly trying to do is say the information is classified, so you don’t get to see it. None of it. No images, nothing.

Once again our government is trying to push this country into a war based on “information” which we do not get to verify or examine. There is nothing to gain for the people of this country. An actual conflict, as I noted previously, will diminish oil availability globally. The only people who gain would be US oil producers. Your cost on absolutely everything would increase substantially. Iran would actually attack Saudi oil refineries and fields. The environment would suffer horribly. The next “defense” budget would be even higher than it is now. Yet that would not stop other countries from seeking oil from other sources. Like Russia, who would be unaffected by this conflict.

Right now is the time that you need to call or write elected officials and tell them “Hands Off Iran”. That you do not support any form of attack against Iran or any other country. Don’t wait. Do it today.

Tapping Strategic Reserves Is A Ploy

In response to the attack on the Saudi oil refinery, Trump has said he will tap the National Strategic Reserve. This is a ploy. If not for it being a ploy, I would be forced to say, “My, how SOCIALIST of him.”

The strategic reserve is in place to safeguard against a national oil and gas shortage, as happened in the early 70’s. We are not there, nor are we at risk of being there.

Not long ago, Trump was crowing about how the US is now a “net” oil exporter. Meaning we export more oil than we import. We still import oil. Lots of it from Saudi Arabia. So, what’s the problem? Stop exporting, right?

Wrong. There are several issues at play here.

First, ceasing the export of US oil would mean impacting the petrodollar system directly. Which will already see a significant impact because Saudi oil is sold anywhere in the world in dollars, a significant portion of the petrodollar system and the original petrodollar itself. For that to be reduced by half takes a huge bite out of the petrodollar system because a lot fewer dollars are being traded internationally. If we stopped exporting oil, that would result in a drop of roughly 75% of the value of the petrodollar itself. Assume import/export to be equal, so 50/50. Half of the imports gone means a reduction of 25% of the petrodollar. Reduce export by 100% and you cut another 50% of the petrodollar value.

Second, this is a giveaway to the oil companies. There is no federal oil refinery, no federal wells in operation. What comprises the strategic reserve is purchased from oil companies at roughly market price. In other words, it was replenished while the cost of oil was low. Now, if we exhaust some or all the reserves, they will have to be replenished later. At higher cost to us, higher profit to oil companies.

All of this is aside from this action being extremely dangerous. Who is to say that Yemen will not destroy another Saudi refinery? Even if they do not, what happens if we deplete the reserves while we do not need it, then run into the situation that we do need it?

The short answer is, we’d be screwed. The major purpose of the strategic reserve is so that the military and government can keep functioning in an emergency. Not the whole country. Deplete the reserves and then have an emergency, that would mean the government and military would be stopped in their tracks.

In fact, the world is watching. Including Iran. If we attack Iran, they could very well attack the other Saudi oil refinery/ies, reserves and naval ports. That would crush the petrodollar, freeze the country and partially cripple the military.

I see a ration card in your future.

Understand, we do not produce enough oil to be energy independent at current capacity. I don’t know the actual numbers but will give an example. Say we use 120 gals of oil per day. We export 50 barrels per day and use 50. That means 70 barrels of what we use is imported. If we stopped importing, we would still be 20 barrels short.

“We can just buy more oil from other countries.”

Wrong, bucko. The Saudi reduction in oil means less oil sold to all countries that buy from them, not just the US. So there will be fierce competition to buy oil from other sources. We would be one in a crowd, all fighting for the same scraps.

The fact is, a small, war torn country in the Middle East may well have just figured out a way to destroy the United States as we know it. Without ever having to threaten us directly. I don’t know about you but after all the weapons we’ve sold Saudi Arabia, I’d call that karma.

I’d say it’s about time the US stepped up to the bargaining table and stopped being the bully/bully’s friend. No threats are going to help with this. Only a diplomatic solution will do anything worthwhile.

Saudi Oil Refinery On Fire.. Who Benefits?

The tale being told to us is that Iran was somehow behind the drone attack on what is reportedly the world’s largest oil refinery. The result of that attack being a reduction of Saudi oil production by a full 50%.

First, read that last sentence again. Saudi oil production has been reduced by a full 50%.

Now, there is the fact that the Saudis had voluntarily reduced oil production for quite some time to boost oil prices. Because the US has maintained oil production, the Saudi reduction had limited success and oil prices have remained low.

Now consider the fact that this is occurring at the exact same time that several other major oil producing nations are being actively and aggressively sanctioned by the US, driving down the oil available on the world market. Iran, Venezuela and Russia are all being sanctioned at the same time.

Not only is there no evidence that Iran was involved in this, they would stand nothing to gain from it and it would involve considerable risk. Israel and the US are already standing with their itchy fingers on the triggers, anxious to find an excuse to attack Iran. With a false accusation against Iran, this would drag Saudi Arabia into that mixture. Iran stated that they could and would block the Strait of Hormuz to tanker traffic to and from Saudi Arabia. That action is legal while involving no violence or destruction of infrastructure.

The destruction of the Saudi refinery does not lead to increased oil sales for Iran. It does increase oil sales for the US.

Houthi rebels in Yemen have claimed responsibility for the attack and had announced plans for effective attacks weeks prior. All in response to years of the worst humanitarian crisis in modern times imposed on their country by Saudi Arabia.

There can be little question that one expected result of this will be increased use of the petrodollar. However- If the US and OPEC nations are unable to meet the demand for oil on the international market, that could very well backfire. Winter months in the Northern hemisphere are not far off, especially for Northern Europe, where winter begins as early as late Sept or early October. So this could very well result in Europe increasing oil purchasing from Russia, thanks to unpredictable supply and increased pricing regarding the US oil supply. Winter months are the most turbulent for the north Atlantic, the route tankers must traverse between the US and Europe. China may well break with the US and increase oil purchases from Venezuela and Iran.

Should other countries make such trade agreements, there is the very good chance that any oil trade agreements will be gone for years, decades, possibly forever.

One of the biggest tasks for the US administration now will be to convince other nations that Iran is somehow responsible for the attack. This is not likely to happen, as other nations are less likely than the US to run up further debt than they currently have for the purpose of waging what will absolutely be a protracted war with Iran. Other nations have a longer history than the US and have not forgotten the invasion of Iraq or destruction of Syria via US terrorist proxies. Europe is still dealing with the fallout of refugees coming from Middle Eastern countries, placing extreme strain on their economies and safety. Nor have they been convinced that Iran violated the terms of the JCPOA, which has been the ongoing rationale for the increased tensions with Iran. Nor are they blind to the Trump administration attempting to find an excuse to attack Iran.

As of today, oil prices have increased by 20%. In real terms, that is an increase of 40¢ on every $2 gallon of gas. As winter approaches, that cost will increase. The effects on the US and other economies will be immediate, severe and long term. We will soon see increases in the prices of all consumer goods, utility bills and electronic services.

We ALL need to stop this in it’s tracks by calling and writing our elected officials to tell them NO WAR WITH IRAN.

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I am an independent writer with no corporate sponsors or backing. The only income I make from my writing comes from views. At least I have reached the point where it makes more than it costs me! lol! (Not by much.)My writing is done in between full time (and overtime) nursing, shared custody of my brilliant daughter and mundane existence.

I have opened my new website which is intended to be a central listing of protests and political rallies across the US. It’s still a work in progress but is functional. You can find it at http://RallyAndProtest.com

Please consider becoming a patron on Patreon. I try and average at least 20 articles a month, so a $1 a month donation would come down to 5¢ per article to support independent, non-corporate writing. My Patreon page is here.

If you care to share articles with those who do not have Medium or Patreon accounts, I also post most of my articles on my own website, which has no advertising and I pay for with income from writing. My website is at https://issuesunite.com/ and all articles can be shared freely. You can always quote me, no attribution required. My goal is spreading information and awareness. The whole point is building a better, more peaceful, more equitable world for us and future generations.

US Cyber Attacks Against Russia

The NYT recently published an article stating that the US Cyber Command is conducting aggressive operations against the Russian power grid.

No, I’m not going to link to the article. I try to not promote corporate propaganda and that’s precisely what the NYT article is. Warmongering in the worst form. You want them to keep making money from garbage like this, then you actively promote them fabricating more of it. I will not help you with that.

One thing they state is that Trump gave authorization to conduct such operations without further authorization. Then they claim they are not keeping Trump informed because he may reveal the operation (while they are talking about it publicly) or that they fear he will order them to stop. That last part is why they are really doing this. Yet they think he will not learn of it when they talk openly to the press? Really? You believe that? Are you really that stupid? The NYT thinks you are.

The article goes on to state that they have inserted malicious code into the Russian power grid ever since 2012. So, was this a response to Crimea/Ukraine? No, that happened in 2014. Was it a response to what happened in Georgia? Hmm. That happened in 2008. In 2009 Obama/Hillary were promoting the “reset button” thing and it was after that when Hillary/Obama/Mueller approved selling 20% of our uranium processing ability to Russia in the Uranium One deal.

Now, they state clearly that their attacks are being done online via internet. However, Russia has already developed and deployed a separate internet system which currently interacts with the world wide web but can be disconnected from the WWW in the event of hostilities with another country which threatens their electronic security.

Russia has already conducted national drills simulating a nuclear attack. They have made it clear they can disconnect their power grid from the internet.

The article states that Russia has implanted code which can disrupt our power supply. Of course, the response is to do the same thing to them. Not to disconnect the power supply from the internet. That would make sense. Not to create a separate system of electronic communication running parallel to the internet but separate. That would make sense.

Cyber Command states that their goal is to be able to disable the Russian military. Hate to inform you but most militaries have a capability for power generation which is separate from the civilian power supply. Yes, that includes the US military. Ask any veteran about the power generators used for mobile operations and emergency generators on every base. That’s been a thing for generations now.

No, this would not cripple the Russian military. What it would stand to do is affect millions of civilians and possibly kill many sick and elderly people.

Of course, none of this is the goal here. The goal is for the Russian press to pick this up so it incites social fear and chaos. Incites social fear and chaos. Is that sounding familiar? Isn’t that precisely what they have accused Russia of doing? Isn’t that precisely what this article is likely to do to our own country? The entire article never says a single word about steps they have taken to nullify any alleged threat. It only details the threat we pose to other countries.

In addition, this article is intended to be a threat to countries other than Russia. Including our allies. Make no mistake, the message has not been lost on our allies. The timing of the article is suspicious, to say the least. Just as more countries turn away from the petrodollar, sell off US Treasuries, make peaceful arrangements with Russia and Iran, suddenly we are hearing of some clandestine cyber operation which can affect power supplies in other countries.

However, the ultimate goal of this announcement is to frighten YOU. To fill you with fear, dread and anger. To make you support the march to war against a nuclear power. To suspend your critical mind, so you never ask why they are not focusing their efforts on defense rather than offense. Eye for an eye. Yet if we suddenly suffered disruptions in our own power supply, how would we know if that was a natural event, caused by Russia or caused by our own government? Don’t worry, they will be sure and let you know what they want you to think caused it. Our government has never conducted any false flag attacks. (sic) Just keep being scared shitless and tune in tomorrow so they can tell you what else you should be petrified about.

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I am an independent writer with no corporate sponsors or backing. The only income I make from my writing comes from views. At least I have reached the point where it makes more than it costs me! lol! (Not by much.)My writing is done in between full time (and overtime) nursing, shared custody of my brilliant daughter and mundane existence.

I am also working on building a central website for the purpose of listing any protests or political rallies from local to national, listed by city and state. This is a massive project which will take time and money, each of which I tend to be in short supply of for the project.

Please consider becoming a patron on Patreon. I try and average at least 20 articles a month, so a $1 a month donation would come down to 5¢ per article to support independent, non-corporate writing. My Patreon page is here.

If you care to share articles with those who do not have Medium or Patreon accounts, I also post most of my articles on my own website, which has no advertising and I pay for with income from writing. My website is at https://issuesunite.com/ and all articles can be shared freely. You can always quote me, no attribution required. My goal is spreading information and awareness. The whole point is building a better, more peaceful, more equitable world for us and future generations.