The End Of Hegemony

RT reported on 1–14–20 that when General Soleimani was meeting with the Iraqi PM, the Iraqi PM was acting as an intermediary for the Saudi government as well as Iraq itself in peaceful negotiations between the three nations.

A peace agreement between Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia would be entirely logical. They have had past trade agreements which extend long before the founding of America and all three nations were founding members of OPEC (Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries), as was Venezuela.

Know who is NOT a member of OPEC, in spite of being the world leading oil exporter? The US. Don’t you find that a bit odd? Of course, if the US became an OPEC member, they would be bound by rules and decisions made by OPEC as a democratic structure. Rules which would include reducing or increasing production to maintain a fair oil market, something the US has no interest in maintaining.

Keep in mind that Russia has held discussions with each of these nations and Syria. With or without Russia, if these four countries achieve peaceful agreements, several things would happen-

Decreased terrorism. The support of terrorist organizations has had a definite economic effect on Saudi Arabia over years. With the US being less able to covertly fund and arm these groups, to keep them going has required more financial support from SA. As financial and weapons support has dwindled, we have seen increasing defeat and collapse of ISIS, Al Qaeda and associated groups across the entire Middle East. Their complete dissolution is within sight at this time.

War or peace? This leaves SA with one of two options- Mobilize their own military openly and actively declare war on multiple sovereign nations or begin seeking peaceful diplomatic agreements with their immediate neighboring nations. Declaring war would justify Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz and all other involved nations to respond militarily. Considering the sprawling nature of their oil industry on which most of the SA economy is based, SA is extremely vulnerable to attacks which would decimate their economy in short order. Militarily, they would be unable to face multiple war fronts against nations with hard-won battle experience far beyond anything the Saudi military has ever faced. These are nations with advanced military technology and no dependence on the US for their weaponry. As their proxies are defeated, SA is being forced to make some efforts at diplomacy.

Expanding coalition. Should any peaceful agreement be reached between Iran, Iraq and Saudi Arabia, that agreement would very quickly include Syria and Afghanistan. Eventually, that agreement would grow to rope in Qatar, Bahrain and Oman. That is the short list. It is entirely possible even more nations would join that coalition out of choice or necessity.

Fall of the petrodollar. I have explained on numerous occasions that the days of the petrodollar are decidedly numbered and shrinking. Already Syria, Iran and Venezuela have ceased using the US dollar. Russia has been calling for the demise of the petrodollar for years due to the unfair influence of the petrodollar on world commerce. Russia, China and India have been rapidly decreasing their holdings of US Treasuries. Goldman Sachs has advised their major investors to divest from US Treasury holdings and instead invest in precious metals (especially gold) and increase holdings in foreign currencies, especially Eastern currencies. The trade war with China has decreased trade in dollars and increased trade in other currencies. At this point, it seems highly likely Iraq will drop use of the dollar. This would be an absolute certainty if the US seizes Iraqi financial resources. Even if not, they will gradually reduce any holdings in US banks to avoid that being used as a threat in the future. China, Russia, India and Europe have drastically increased trade in currencies other than the dollar. It is only a short time until the dollar falls in international dominance.

Other nations are watching. The actions and rhetoric of the US has sent a clear message to every other nation on earth. The threat of the US to impose sanctions on Iraq and seize their resources while maintaining a military presence in the country against the will of the Iraqi parliament is nothing short of a military occupation. Pompeo claims our purpose there now is to train the Iraqi military on how to fight ISIS. Our military cannot train the Iraqi military when their presence is unwanted, forced upon them and their agenda is not trusted. The seizure of financial resources was set in precedent by the seizure of the resources of Venezuela and Libya. Our government was instrumental in the overthrow of Morales in Bolivia, Zelaya in Honduras, Yanukovych in Ukraine, the assassination of Qaddafi in Libya, in addition to the Taliban in Afghanistan, the illegal invasion of Iraq and attempted overthrows of Assad in Syria and Maduro in Venezuela. Those are just mentioning actions in the 21st century. Military, economic and political threats, sanctions and tariffs have shown the US government to have no respect for human rights, justice, fairness, democracy, diplomacy, peace or sovereignty. At this point no other government can justifiably trust the US government.

Who is next? A direct result of all the above is that other governments and populations are asking themselves, “Is our country next?” for very good reason. That includes countries that are our alleged “allies”. It now seems that all it takes for the US to consider another country as adversarial is openly or even covertly stating they do not agree with our actions or policies. Then that country becomes an immediate target for some form of harm by the US government. While Trump is the most aggressive, uncouth and bombastic president we have had, he is merely a continuation of the foreign policies of previous administrations. As such, other nations see our foreign policy as a threat, no matter the administration. This leaves all other nations no choice but to form coalitions and diplomatic relations which completely omit the US and possibly directly oppose the US on all fronts- militarily, economically, politically, diplomatically and socially.

It really does not matter how nationalistic an American is, even the mainstream media can no longer hide the fact that the US no longer holds the hegemony we once had only a few years ago. This country now faces opposition and competition on all fronts from many directions. This is as it should be. It is amusing when a US nationalist lays claim to a “free market” and opposes socialism, yet then supports the idea of imposing rules, sanctions and tariffs on other nations. All while remaining silent on subsidies, tax breaks and even warfare which benefits the corporations. In other words, imposing rules and force on sovereign nations and our own citizens which amount to socialism for the wealthy in the US, oppression for everyone else.

Other nations are well aware of the condition of our economy, our education system, our military technology, our medical care, our social support structure,and our electoral system. They are aware of our violent crime rate and prison population. They are aware of our surveillance which spans the globe, including on our own people. They are aware of the violence and aggression this country uses to impose a superficial belief in our superiority on the rest of the planet. They are aware that our so-called “freedom” means their servitude and that it is absolutely not freedom.

It is only a matter of dwindling time before other nations choose diplomacy over conflict, as their options are depleted, burned and blown up by decades of warfare.

In the end, people tend to fight for one thing. Hope. When wars continue for years, especially over multiple generations, any hope of gain by conflict becomes lost. So what they hope for is peace. Just a normal existence without constant fear of injury and death. Mundane existence becomes a pipe dream.

In the US, we don’t understand this because the wars we have waged have left the general population, our cities and lands unscathed. It’s easy to rage for more warfare when someone else pays the most obvious price. It is those who have paid the highest price for our conflicts who will decide on peace, to stop being used as puppets. It is they who will eject us from their lands and never welcome us in again. Not in this lifetime, any way. It is we who will have to prove we can change our ways. If we refuse to leave, they will join together to remove us by any means necessary. They have begun that process.

There Is Absolutely NOTHING To Win In A War With Iran

Yesterday Iran launched missile strikes against US military installations in Iraq. This was in response to the US assassination of their most revered general, who was in Iraq to meet the Iraqi PM in peace talks, by all accounts.

The missile strike now divides the US populace, with some calling for retaliation against Iran and others opposing further military action.

The assassination was not the only attack by the US in Iraq. The US also struck the Iraqi PMU, which is labeled a terrorist organization by the US government. The PMU is a part of the Iraqi military which fights against ISIS very effectively. Which means our government directly attacked the military of a sovereign government while claiming we are there to help them fight ISIS.

There are claims that General Soleimani is responsible for US deaths. Funny how we are just now hearing this and the claims are extremely vague. The actual reason for these claims is because Iran, under Soleimani, trained Iraqi military. They used that training when Iraq was invaded by US forces under knowingly false pretenses in 2003. Where are those WMD’s again?

This also comes while Iran has been struggling for years under US trade sanctions which have severely damaged their economy. For claims that they have violated the JCPOA nuclear agreement. Never mind that there has been no evidence presented of any violation. Never mind that the IAEA stated clearly Iran was in compliance. Never mind that all other nations signed onto the agreement have remained dedicated to the JCPOA. Never mind that Iran invited US inspectors into the country to confirm their compliance. Never mind that the US government refused to conduct those inspections.

This also comes after the Iraqi Prime Minister told the US to remove our military forces from the country. Since the missile attacks, the Iraqi parliament voted unanimously for the US forces to leave the country. Some will point out that not all the parliament was present for that vote. Yet it has been several days since the vote and the groups who were absent have not issued an opposing statement in any form. In response to parliament telling us to leave, Trump has threatened to impose crippling sanctions against Iraq. That’s funny, I thought we were supposed to be there to HELP them? How do sanctions achieve that?

Let’s make this clear. Every Middle East country in which the US is conducting combat operations wants our forces gone. No, we are NOT doing combat inside Saudi Arabia, Israel or Turkey. We are in Syria illegally and they want us out. We invaded Iraq illegally and they want us gone. We overthrew the Taliban in Afghanistan and have been there for 18 years. Today the Taliban has more public support in Afghanistan than they have had at any point since 2001 and they control more of the country than ever. The people want us gone. Only the US puppet PM claims to want us there.

Look at a map. If the US declares war against Iran, This will require using all of our forces and resources from other ME countries and redirecting them toward Iran. Which means we would no longer be fighting ISIS at all. Now, look at the countries which would be to our rear and flanks. Those would be the same countries that have told us to get out. The same countries whose governments we have tried to overthrow, with varied levels of success but mostly failed.

Yes, Israel and Saudi Arabia would also be there. Yet those two countries have not seen combat the way our opponents have. They have funded and armed proxy terrorists to fight for them. In other words, mercenaries. Israel and Saudi Arabia are also HIGHLY dependent on the US for their arms and economies. If all of our resources are mandated to fight Iran, primarily our weapons production capabilities, the US will no longer be able to supply weapons to Israel and SA. So, IF they defended our rear, their weapons supplies would be exhausted within days. Tactically, all their enemies have to do is destroy the shipping ports and possibly airports of those two countries and they will be economically crippled. No need to confront their military forces. That would also strangle their supply lines. Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz and that would stop multiple countries in their tracks.

Russia and China. Only a few weeks ago, Iran held joint military drills with Russia and China. In other words, two major military forces of countries we have directly threatened and opposed militarily and economically. Countries with advanced weapons capabilities. Should they step into the battle, there is no effective way we could fight back. If they stepped in early enough, even if the US enacted a draft, the war would be over before new recruits could be trained here. In addition, the US relies heavily on rare earth minerals from China, which they could easily embargo. That would strangle our ability to build many electronics and military equipment. China could cease trade with the US, leaving store shelves completely empty, so our general economy would largely collapse.

Don’t count on NATO. Allegedly, NATO forces have already begun pulling out of Iraq. Europe relies heavily on trade with ME countries and China. In addition to the fact that assassinating a military leader and directly attacking a sovereign military force was a step too far for Europe. Yes, the UK may assist us but that would be a difficult sell to the UK public. Especially when they are still debating Brexit. If NATO opposes action, they would have to divest themselves of NATO, which would be largely irreversible. Political sentiment across Europe would affect their trade. On their own, with limited trade and lessened military capability, they would not be much help and would face the same conditions the US would face.

Nothing to gain. There is literally nothing to gain in any of this. We have turned allies across the ME into enemies. We are facing opposition across the globe on this, including a massive percentage of the US public. Our government can try to claim we are being attacked but have refused the option to simply leave countries where we are not wanted. More people are aware of this than at any point in past history. We have no right to be there. We cannot claim we are fighting terrorists when we turn our backs against ISIS to fight multiple sovereign nations inside their own countries. This would be a war which would either end quickly with our absolute defeat or would continue indefinitely for generations. Diplomatic relations would NEVER be repaired.

So, if you support some military action against Iran, you also support actions against Iraq, Syria, Afghanistan and possibly Russia and China. You mindlessly, emotionally support a war which we cannot win and in which there is no such thing as winning. I expect other nations to realize this immediately.